Cut prediction – PGA Championship

1

Stats Report

    • STAT BROTHERS

    • Schauffele is a favorite to win his first major after the first round in San Francisco. (Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)Schauffele is a favorite to win his first major after the first round in San Francisco. (Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)

    2020 PGA Championship, Round 1

    Scoring Conditions:

    About prediction:

    Cut prediction: PGA Championship

    About Championship
    In sport, a championship is a competition in which the aim is to decide which individual or team is the champion.

    Overall: +1.1 strokes per round

    Morning wave: +0.67

    Cut prediction: PGA Championship

    Afternoon wave: +1.54

    Current cutline (top 70 and ties):

    89 players at +1 or better (T68)

    Top 3 projected cutline probabilities:

    1. 1 over par: 29.4%
    2. 2 over par: 25.0%
    3. Even par: 19.5%

    Top 10 win probabilities:

    1. Xander Schauffele (T3, -4, 10.9%)
    2. Jason Day (T1, -5, 7.9%)
    3. Bryson DeChambeau (T20, -2, 6.4%)
    4. Brooks Koepka (T3, -4, 6.3%)
    5. Scottie Scheffler (T3, -4, 5.2%)
    6. Jon Rahm (T48, E, 3.3%)
    7. Brendon Todd (T1, -5, 3.0%)
    8. Patrick Reed (T20, -2, 3.0%)
    9. Daniel Berger (T12, -3, 2.9%)
    10. Justin Rose (T3, -4, 2.9%)

    NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the PGA Championship or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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